Peace Games, 2024 to 2027
Announcement at 10.00am GMT on 28 January 2025
The IPP Trustees are pleased to publish today their Doomsday Riskometer which has been under development since mid-2024. It is based on a simplified version of their embryonic computer programme, as part of the process of market testing and seeking investor support.
The provisional assessment is that risks of nuclear escalation as at 27 January 2025 are 5 – the highest level. Competing analyses are welcome, subject to IPP quality standards, for publication on this website.
This publication is timely as the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists annual announcement of their iconic Doomsday Clock time is due out later today at 10.00am EST in Washington, DC.
Alternatively, the UK Chief of the Defence Staff (CDS) in his Annual Lecture to the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) on 4 December 2024 did not refer to the Bulletin’s Doomsday Clock but came to a very different conclusion to their 2023 and 2024 times.
Read the background in the Press Briefing here
The IPP Doomsday Riskometer is here
Details of the CDS RUSI Lecture and an analysis of fact and logic is here
Announcement on 19 November 2024
After the successful completion of the IPP Computer/Data Science Project in 2023 by a doctoral student, supervised by the Honorary Secretary and a Data Architect (based in southern Africa), the IPP Trustees are now seeking to market this embryonic computer programme.
This educational charity has been working in 2024 to explore the feasibility of establishing a trading subsidiary to market the programme in a manner analogous to weather forecasting.
The next stage is to create the institutional demand for the IPP computer model and develop a graphical interface for a range of international conflicts. So far, the North v South Korea and the United States v China conflicts have been analysed but the network theory that underpins this model is able to predict the propensity for a state of peace or war in any area.
Requests for further information may be sent to Peter Southwood, IPP Hon. Secretary, at hon.secretary@ipp2000.org